People leave for reasons that have nothing to do with study
Withdrawal is recorded as an academic event and is usually a financial, health or family one. Support services exist for that gap and are resourced as though the gap were small.
Ask a student who withdrew why they left and the answer is rarely about the course. Their hours changed at work. A relative became unwell and they became the person who drives to appointments. The car failed and the campus is forty minutes away. The relationship ended and the housing went with it. Money ran out in week nine and the choice was between a textbook and the electricity. Each of these ends a course as effectively as failing every assessment, and none of them appears anywhere in the academic record.
The institutional response is shaped by what is visible. Results are visible, so intervention triggers on results, which means the system responds after the consequence rather than to the cause. By the time somebody has failed two units, the financial or personal situation that produced the failure has usually been running for months and has become considerably harder to address.
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